London, UK, Lichtenau/Baden, Germany, 10th October 2017 – LS telcom today announces the publication of a report entitled “When will exponential mobile growth stop?”
Richard Womersley, Director Spectrum Consulting of LS telcom, explained the rationale for the study, “Exponential growth cannot continue indefinitely as the result would be that whatever is growing will eventually reach an infinite size. We wanted to examine more closely how future mobile data traffic will really evolve and whether current estimates of continuing exponential growth until at least 2030 are valid, in order to inform ongoing activities to identify new spectrum bands for 5G.”
LS telcom experts first calculated how much data an individual may be able to consume to determine what a finite limit to mobile data usage might be. This resulted in the surprising conclusion that even using extreme values for potential personal data use (such as every person on the planet streaming Ultra-High Definition 4K video for 16 hours per day), the majority of growth in mobile data traffic would still be complete by the late 2020s.
Secondly, the study examined the growth in mobile data usage in a number of advanced countries where users are already ‘ahead of the curve’ with respect to their usage of mobile data. Three countries were identified where mobile data growth is already showing signs of slowing down and in each case, it is clear that the reason for this slow down is not related to spectrum availability. In these countries, there may only be a factor of three to four times mobile data traffic growth remaining, according to the report. This appears to be a trend. The study also surmises that data growth only continues to show exponential characteristics in those countries where digital divides remain or where connectivity is still being rolled out.
About LS telcom
LS telcom is the global leader in spectrum efficiency. In an increasingly connected world, we assure that all spectrum users achieve their radio communication objectives in the most optimal and cost-efficient way. We deliver technologies and services to national and international regulatory bodies, to mobile and broadcast operators, to transport, critical infrastructure, defence, PPDR and vertical markets. We optimize spectrum management and spectrum use and enable new business models based on the internet of things (IoT). Spectrum users in all markets rely on our experts and software for the planning and design of optimized radio networks. We plan networks of all generations and technologies, including IoT.
On the regulatory side, we supply consulting and support services for spectrum policy development, pricing, auctions, trading, dynamic and licensed spectrum access considering technical, economic and social parameters.
Our highly modern SPECTRA Enterprise IT system provides regulators with fully automated workflow-based e-government capabilities in spectrum management. Combined with our flexible radio monitoring system, it is one of the most advanced systems for spectrum inventory and data mining, enabling highest spectrum efficiency.
Training on network technologies, standards, and regulations as well as radio monitoring system integration and optimization, transmitter installations and measurements complete our offer. Founded in 1992, LS telcom looks back on 25 years of experience in the radio communications market. Since then LS telcom, an ISO 9001:2015 certified company, has established memberships with many industry associations and organizations, and cooperates with leading technology universities. This is how we ensure to be up-to-date with technologies, standards and regulations.
LS telcom operates worldwide with subsidiaries and affiliates in Canada, China, France, South Africa, UAE, UK and USA as well as representations and support offices in Argentina, Hungary and Oman. With its headquarters in Lichtenau, Germany, LS telcom is listed on the German stock exchange under ISIN DE 0005754402 since 2001.